Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
JJ Aldrich vs Veronica Hardy
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
JJ Aldrich
Veronica Hardy
64%
36%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
32
Age
Δ 3y
28
16-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
11-5-1
W2
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aldrich: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Hardy: 36 sig / 0 TD
JJ Aldrich
Veronica Hardy
66
Sig strikes landed
50
132
Sig strikes attempted
117
89
Total strikes landed
77
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
188s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
JJ Aldrich
16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
W2
Veronica Hardy
11-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—