Prelims1
Lightweight
Chase Hooper vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chase Hooper
Viacheslav Borshchev
86%
14%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
69"
25
Age
Δ 8y
32
17-5-1
Career record
Δ 27 pp
8-7-2
W2
Current streak
D1
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Hooper: 62 sig / 1 TD ·
Borshchev: 2 sig / 0 TD
Chase Hooper
Viacheslav Borshchev
55
Sig strikes landed
37
112
Sig strikes attempted
93
76
Total strikes landed
52
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.1
4.3
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
196s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
17-5-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
Blue corner
D1
Viacheslav Borshchev
"Slava Claus"
8-7-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 5
D
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—