Main
Light Heavyweight
Alonzo Menifield vs Carlos Ulberg
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
·Enterprise Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alonzo Menifield
Carlos Ulberg
47%
53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
37
Age
Δ 3y
34
19-6-1
Career record
Δ 21 pp
16-1
W2
Current streak
W5
12
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Menifield: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Ulberg: 7 sig / 0 TD
Alonzo Menifield
Carlos Ulberg
29
Sig strikes landed
46
61
Sig strikes attempted
79
39
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
84s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
12 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
D
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
W5
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—