Main
Women's Flyweight
Ariane da Silva vs Karine Silva
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ariane da Silva
Karine Silva
41%
59%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
18-11
Career record
Δ 12 pp
20-7
W3
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
da Silva: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 27 sig / 5 TD
Ariane da Silva
Karine Silva
38
Sig strikes landed
34
99
Sig strikes attempted
93
52
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
18-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
Blue corner
W3
Karine Silva
"Killer"
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—