Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Ihor Potieria
69%
31%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
33-14
Career record
Δ 2 pp
21-8
W7
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pereira: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Potieria: 2 sig / 0 TD
Michel Pereira
Ihor Potieria
59
Sig strikes landed
44
125
Sig strikes attempted
114
70
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
52s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W7
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
33-14
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
Blue corner
W1
Ihor Potieria
"Duelist"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—