Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joaquim Silva
Drakkar Klose
42%
58%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
15-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-3-1
W1
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Klose: 70 sig / 0 TD
Joaquim Silva
Drakkar Klose
35
Sig strikes landed
54
85
Sig strikes attempted
105
42
Total strikes landed
78
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
61s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
15-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Drakkar Klose
17-3-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—