Main
Featherweight
Billy Quarantillo vs Youssef Zalal
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Billy Quarantillo
Youssef Zalal
46%
54%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
35
Age
Δ 8y
28
19-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-6-2
W1
Current streak
D1
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Quarantillo: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Zalal: 33 sig / 2 TD
Billy Quarantillo
Youssef Zalal
47
Sig strikes landed
49
97
Sig strikes attempted
102
78
Total strikes landed
70
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
9.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
171s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Billy Quarantillo
19-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
D1
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
18-6-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—