Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Miles Johns
Cody Gibson
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
15-5
Career record
Δ 12 pp
22-13
W1
Current streak
L3
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johns: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Gibson: 18 sig / 1 TD
Miles Johns
Cody Gibson
52
Sig strikes landed
56
116
Sig strikes attempted
113
66
Total strikes landed
72
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
L3
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—