Back to UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Prelims1 Featherweight

Ricardo Ramos vs Julian Erosa

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Julian Erosa
44% 56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
17-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
31-15
L1
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 7 sig / 2 TD · Erosa: 4 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Julian Erosa
41
Sig strikes landed
50
94
Sig strikes attempted
94
52
Total strikes landed
66
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
141s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ricardo Ramos

17-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
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W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
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Blue corner
L2

Julian Erosa

"Juicy J"
31-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
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