Back to UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Prelims1 Featherweight

Jarno Errens vs Steven Nguyen

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jarno Errens
Steven Nguyen
57% 43%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
L2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Errens: 105 sig / 0 TD · Nguyen: 63 sig / 1 TD
Jarno Errens
Steven Nguyen
31
Sig strikes landed
38
70
Sig strikes attempted
69
49
Total strikes landed
50
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
150s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jarno Errens

14-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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Blue corner

Steven Nguyen

"The Ninja"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
31