Back to UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Montse Rendon vs Daria Zhelezniakova

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Montse Rendon
Daria Zhelezniakova
41% 59%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rendon: 25 sig / 3 TD · Zhelezniakova: 57 sig / 0 TD
Montse Rendon
Daria Zhelezniakova
45
Sig strikes landed
51
112
Sig strikes attempted
118
74
Total strikes landed
86
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
236s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Montse Rendon

"Monster"
8-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
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Blue corner

Daria Zhelezniakova

"Iron Lady"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28