Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Jaqueline Amorim vs Cory McKenna
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jaqueline Amorim
Cory McKenna
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 10"
58"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
12-2
Career record
Δ 16 pp
9-4
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Amorim: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
McKenna: 4 sig / 1 TD
Jaqueline Amorim
Cory McKenna
44
Sig strikes landed
38
99
Sig strikes attempted
89
78
Total strikes landed
67
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.2
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
223s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jaqueline Amorim
12-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Cory McKenna
"Poppins"
9-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
59"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—