Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Josh Culibao
Danny Silva
48%
52%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Culibao: 87 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 45 sig / 4 TD
Josh Culibao
Danny Silva
37
Sig strikes landed
35
73
Sig strikes attempted
67
51
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Josh Culibao
"Kuya"
11-5-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner
Danny Silva
"El Puma"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
27