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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Josiane Nunes vs Chelsea Chandler

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Josiane Nunes
Chelsea Chandler
77% 23%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
11-4
Career record
Δ 19 pp
6-5
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nunes: 47 sig / 0 TD · Chandler: 58 sig / 2 TD
Josiane Nunes
Chelsea Chandler
45
Sig strikes landed
52
93
Sig strikes attempted
141
69
Total strikes landed
73
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.6
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.40
Knockdowns
-0.10
127s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Josiane Nunes

"Josi"
11-4
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1

Chelsea Chandler

6-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—