Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Natan Levy
Mike Davis
44%
56%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
9-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-3
W2
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Levy: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Davis: 3 sig / 0 TD
Natan Levy
Mike Davis
50
Sig strikes landed
56
97
Sig strikes attempted
118
51
Total strikes landed
68
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Natan Levy
"Lethal"
9-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W3
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
13-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—