Main
Women's Bantamweight
Pannie Kianzad vs Macy Chiasson
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pannie Kianzad
Macy Chiasson
60%
40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
32
Age
Δ 0y
33
17-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-7
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kianzad: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Chiasson: 4 sig / 2 TD
Pannie Kianzad
Macy Chiasson
54
Sig strikes landed
54
102
Sig strikes attempted
122
82
Total strikes landed
84
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
154s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Pannie Kianzad
"Banzai"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
Blue corner
L1
Macy Chiasson
11-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—