Main
Featherweight
Christian Rodriguez vs Isaac Dulgarian
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Christian Rodriguez
Isaac Dulgarian
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
13-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
8-2
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rodriguez: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Dulgarian: 22 sig / 7 TD
Christian Rodriguez
Isaac Dulgarian
31
Sig strikes landed
28
60
Sig strikes attempted
62
56
Total strikes landed
43
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
13-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W1
Isaac Dulgarian
"The Midwest Choppa"
8-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—