Main
Featherweight
Morgan Charriere vs Chepe Mariscal
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Morgan Charriere
Chepe Mariscal
56%
44%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
22-12-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
19-7
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Charriere: 49 sig / 2 TD ·
Mariscal: 71 sig / 1 TD
Morgan Charriere
Chepe Mariscal
37
Sig strikes landed
39
88
Sig strikes attempted
82
44
Total strikes landed
49
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
28s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Morgan Charriere
"The Last Pirate"
22-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
Blue corner
W2
Chepe Mariscal
"Machine Gun"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—