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Ignacio Bahamondes vs Christos Giagos

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ignacio Bahamondes
Christos Giagos
78% 22%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
27
Age
Δ 8y
34
17-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
20-13
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Bahamondes: 40 sig / 0 TD · Giagos: 17 sig / 0 TD
Ignacio Bahamondes
Christos Giagos
72
Sig strikes landed
53
112
Sig strikes attempted
101
88
Total strikes landed
69
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
-0.1
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
56s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ignacio Bahamondes

"La Jaula"
17-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
L1

Christos Giagos

"The Spartan"
20-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 13 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—