Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valter Walker
Lukasz Brzeski
86%
14%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Walker: 33 sig / 4 TD ·
Brzeski: 58 sig / 0 TD
Valter Walker
Lukasz Brzeski
47
Sig strikes landed
38
102
Sig strikes attempted
72
68
Total strikes landed
49
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L3
Lukasz Brzeski
"The Bull"
9-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
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