Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Court McGee
Alex Morono
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
39
Age
Δ 6y
34
23-15
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-14
L2
Current streak
L1
21
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 60 sig / 1 TD ·
Morono: 38 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Alex Morono
81
Sig strikes landed
76
167
Sig strikes attempted
168
85
Total strikes landed
91
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
169s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
21 fights · 10-11
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner
L1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
19 fights · 12-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—