Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Norma Dumont vs Germaine de Randamie
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norma Dumont
Germaine de Randamie
76%
24%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
34
Age
Δ 6y
40
14-3
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-5
W3
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dumont: 11 sig / 6 TD ·
de Randamie: 16 sig / 0 TD
Norma Dumont
Germaine de Randamie
47
Sig strikes landed
34
95
Sig strikes attempted
88
76
Total strikes landed
67
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
243s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
14-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
Blue corner
W1
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—