Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sodiq Yusuff
Diego Lopes
31%
69%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
13-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
28-8
L1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Yusuff: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Lopes: 26 sig / 0 TD
Sodiq Yusuff
Diego Lopes
32
Sig strikes landed
42
61
Sig strikes attempted
90
49
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
99s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
13-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
Blue corner
W2
Diego Lopes
28-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—