Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Holly Holm vs Kayla Harrison
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Kayla Harrison
27%
73%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
42
Age
Δ 9y
34
W1
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Holm: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Harrison: 51 sig / 2 TD
Holly Holm
Kayla Harrison
55
Sig strikes landed
55
141
Sig strikes attempted
120
83
Total strikes landed
88
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
179s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
43
In our database
15 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
Kayla Harrison
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34