🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili vs Yan Xiaonan
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Weili
Yan Xiaonan
79%
21%
Why
63"
Reach
63"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
27-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
20-5
W3
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Weili: 106 sig / 6 TD ·
Xiaonan: 43 sig / 3 TD
Zhang Weili
Yan Xiaonan
91
Sig strikes landed
68
168
Sig strikes attempted
160
124
Total strikes landed
95
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
259s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Yan Xiaonan
20-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—