🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alex Pereira
Jamahal Hill
59%
41%
Why
79"
Reach
79"
37
Age
Δ 4y
33
14-3
Career record
Δ 6 pp
13-4
W2
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pereira: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Hill: 12 sig / 0 TD
Alex Pereira
Jamahal Hill
63
Sig strikes landed
58
123
Sig strikes attempted
115
71
Total strikes landed
78
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
71s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
14-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
Blue corner
W4
Jamahal Hill
"Sweet Dreams"
13-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—