Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bo Nickal
Cody Brundage
74%
26%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
9-1
Career record
Δ 33 pp
13-9-1
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Nickal: 8 sig / 3 TD ·
Brundage: 4 sig / 0 TD
Bo Nickal
Cody Brundage
22
Sig strikes landed
11
44
Sig strikes attempted
24
31
Total strikes landed
18
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
41%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Bo Nickal
9-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W2
Cody Brundage
13-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—