Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Jiri Prochazka vs Aleksandar Rakic
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jiri Prochazka
Aleksandar Rakic
90%
10%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
32-7-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
14-7
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Prochazka: 69 sig / 1 TD ·
Rakic: 58 sig / 0 TD
Jiri Prochazka
Aleksandar Rakic
51
Sig strikes landed
44
108
Sig strikes attempted
109
76
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
94s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jiri Prochazka
32-7-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
L1
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
14-7
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—