Main
Middleweight
Nursulton Ruziboev vs Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
·Boardwalk Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nursulton Ruziboev
Sedriques Dumas
91%
9%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
30
Age
Δ 2y
29
37-9-2
Career record
Δ 8 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ruziboev: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Dumas: 1 sig / 0 TD
Nursulton Ruziboev
Sedriques Dumas
22
Sig strikes landed
10
39
Sig strikes attempted
17
40
Total strikes landed
26
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
124s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
48%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nursulton Ruziboev
"Black"
37-9-2
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sedriques Dumas
"The Reaper"
11-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—