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Main Middleweight

Chris Weidman vs Bruno Silva

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot ·Boardwalk Hall
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Chris Weidman
Bruno Silva
47% 53%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
40
Age
Δ 5y
35
16-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-14
L2
Current streak
L2
18
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Weidman: 75 sig / 1 TD · Silva: 30 sig / 0 TD
Chris Weidman
Bruno Silva
36
Sig strikes landed
41
71
Sig strikes attempted
75
54
Total strikes landed
60
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
179s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Chris Weidman

"The All-American"
16-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 18 fights · 11-7
Last 5
L UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
L UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
Blue corner
L2

Bruno Silva

"Blindado"
23-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—