Main
Welterweight
Vicente Luque vs Joaquin Buckley
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
·Boardwalk Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Joaquin Buckley
53%
47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
25-12-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
22-8
W1
Current streak
W2
20
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Luque: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Buckley: 55 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Joaquin Buckley
85
Sig strikes landed
54
148
Sig strikes attempted
116
89
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
65s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
20 fights · 15-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
Blue corner
W2
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
22-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—