Main
Women's Flyweight
Erin Blanchfield vs Manon Fiorot
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
·Boardwalk Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Erin Blanchfield
Manon Fiorot
76%
24%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
15-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
14-2
W6
Current streak
W6
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Blanchfield: 130 sig / 0 TD ·
Fiorot: 172 sig / 1 TD
Erin Blanchfield
Manon Fiorot
64
Sig strikes landed
51
136
Sig strikes attempted
126
88
Total strikes landed
63
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
15-2
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
W6
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—