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Prelims1 Middleweight

Andre Petroski vs Jacob Malkoun

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Andre Petroski
Jacob Malkoun
49% 51%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
13-7
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Petroski: 13 sig / 1 TD · Malkoun: 20 sig / 0 TD
Andre Petroski
Jacob Malkoun
36
Sig strikes landed
29
70
Sig strikes attempted
58
65
Total strikes landed
53
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.9
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
244s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Andre Petroski

13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
W UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
W UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Blue corner
L1

Jacob Malkoun

"Mamba"
10-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
L UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …