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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Ibo Aslan vs Anton Turkalj

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot ·Boardwalk Hall
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ibo Aslan
Anton Turkalj
70% 30%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Aslan: 74 sig / 0 TD · Turkalj: 55 sig / 0 TD
Ibo Aslan
Anton Turkalj
42
Sig strikes landed
27
55
Sig strikes attempted
49
54
Total strikes landed
32
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
158s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ibo Aslan

"The Last Ottoman"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L3

Anton Turkalj

"The Pleasure Man"
8-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
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