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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Angel Pacheco vs Caolan Loughran

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot ·Boardwalk Hall
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Angel Pacheco
Caolan Loughran
39% 61%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pacheco: 88 sig / 0 TD · Loughran: 140 sig / 3 TD
Angel Pacheco
Caolan Loughran
42
Sig strikes landed
44
89
Sig strikes attempted
108
68
Total strikes landed
74
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
269s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Angel Pacheco

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
L1

Caolan Loughran

"The Don"
10-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
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