Main
Light Heavyweight
Vitor Petrino vs Tyson Pedro
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Tyson Pedro
83%
17%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
15-2
Career record
Δ 19 pp
11-5
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petrino: 27 sig / 3 TD ·
Pedro: 30 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Petrino
Tyson Pedro
23
Sig strikes landed
15
35
Sig strikes attempted
29
43
Total strikes landed
25
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
225s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Vitor Petrino
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
W1
Tyson Pedro
11-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—