Main
Heavyweight
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Shamil Gaziev
45%
55%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
15-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
15-3
L1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Rozenstruik: 127 sig / 0 TD ·
Gaziev: 22 sig / 1 TD
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Shamil Gaziev
28
Sig strikes landed
27
60
Sig strikes attempted
68
29
Total strikes landed
48
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
44s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W1
Shamil Gaziev
15-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—