Main
Lightweight
Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Zellhuber
Francisco Prado
65%
35%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 8"
69"
25
Age
Δ 3y
22
16-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
13-5
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zellhuber: 120 sig / 0 TD ·
Prado: 90 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Zellhuber
Francisco Prado
49
Sig strikes landed
38
131
Sig strikes attempted
94
74
Total strikes landed
47
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
107s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
16-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Francisco Prado
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—