Main
Women's Strawweight
Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yazmin Jauregui
Sam Hughes
76%
24%
Why
64"
Reach
64"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
11-3
Career record
Δ 15 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jauregui: 94 sig / 0 TD ·
Hughes: 83 sig / 0 TD
Yazmin Jauregui
Sam Hughes
60
Sig strikes landed
52
144
Sig strikes attempted
123
82
Total strikes landed
74
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.8
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
113s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yazmin Jauregui
11-3
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
W1
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—