Prelims1
Flyweight
Victor Altamirano vs Felipe dos Santos
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Victor Altamirano
Felipe dos Santos
46%
54%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
33
Age
Δ 10y
24
12-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
8-4
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Altamirano: 40 sig / 9 TD ·
dos Santos: 37 sig / 0 TD
Victor Altamirano
Felipe dos Santos
79
Sig strikes landed
69
173
Sig strikes attempted
172
98
Total strikes landed
77
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Felipe dos Santos
"Lipe Detona"
8-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—