Back to UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Prelims1 Flyweight

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Denys Bondar

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 ·Arena CDMX
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Denys Bondar
75% 25%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Rodriguez: 31 sig / 0 TD · Bondar: 41 sig / 4 TD
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Denys Bondar
45
Sig strikes landed
39
100
Sig strikes attempted
83
62
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ronaldo Rodriguez

"Lazy Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L2

Denys Bondar

"Psycho"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
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