Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Muslim Salikhov
63%
37%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 8"
70"
34
Age
Δ 6y
40
21-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-7
W1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brown: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Salikhov: 10 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Muslim Salikhov
51
Sig strikes landed
42
112
Sig strikes attempted
81
70
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
Blue corner
L1
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—