Main
Women's Flyweight
Viviane Araujo vs Natalia Silva
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Viviane Araujo
Natalia Silva
23%
77%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
37
Age
Δ 10y
27
14-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
21-5-1
W1
Current streak
W4
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Araujo: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 38 sig / 0 TD
Viviane Araujo
Natalia Silva
49
Sig strikes landed
70
125
Sig strikes attempted
146
61
Total strikes landed
95
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
118s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
Blue corner
W4
Natalia Silva
21-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—