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Prelims1 Lightweight

Landon Quinones vs MarQuel Mederos

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Landon Quinones
MarQuel Mederos
41% 59%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Quinones: 55 sig / 1 TD · Mederos: 60 sig / 0 TD
Landon Quinones
MarQuel Mederos
24
Sig strikes landed
74
75
Sig strikes attempted
151
46
Total strikes landed
87
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Landon Quinones

"The Lone Wolf"
7-4-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
Blue corner

MarQuel Mederos

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27