Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Luana Carolina vs Julija Stoliarenko
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Luana Carolina
Julija Stoliarenko
69%
31%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
12-5
Career record
Δ 21 pp
12-10-2
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Carolina: 66 sig / 2 TD ·
Stoliarenko: 16 sig / 1 TD
Luana Carolina
Julija Stoliarenko
46
Sig strikes landed
38
101
Sig strikes attempted
96
66
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
Blue corner
W1
Julija Stoliarenko
12-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—