Main
Middleweight
Aliaskhab Khizriev vs Makhmud Muradov
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Aliaskhab Khizriev
Makhmud Muradov
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
15-0
Career record
Δ 23 pp
27-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Khizriev: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Muradov: 1 sig / 0 TD
Aliaskhab Khizriev
Makhmud Muradov
44
Sig strikes landed
47
101
Sig strikes attempted
111
87
Total strikes landed
61
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
211s
Control time
38s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Aliaskhab Khizriev
"Black Wolf"
15-0
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
Blue corner
W1
Makhmud Muradov
27-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—