Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Gilbert Urbina
Charles Radtke
54%
46%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
8-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-5
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Urbina: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Radtke: 30 sig / 0 TD
Gilbert Urbina
Charles Radtke
34
Sig strikes landed
43
62
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
59
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
71s
Control time
326s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gilbert Urbina
"The RGV Bad Boy"
8-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W1
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
13-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—