Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Molly McCann vs Diana Belbita
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Diana Belbita
46%
54%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
14-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-11
L2
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McCann: 42 sig / 2 TD ·
Belbita: 29 sig / 0 TD
Molly McCann
Diana Belbita
80
Sig strikes landed
75
157
Sig strikes attempted
176
95
Total strikes landed
88
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
111s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
14-9
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
L1
Diana Belbita
"The Warrior Princess"
15-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—