Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ion Cutelaba
Philipe Lins
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
30
Age
Δ 8y
39
21-11-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
19-5
W1
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cutelaba: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Lins: 67 sig / 2 TD
Ion Cutelaba
Philipe Lins
40
Sig strikes landed
38
73
Sig strikes attempted
74
51
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
21-11-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 6-8
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
Blue corner
W3
Philipe Lins
"Monstro"
19-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—