Prelims2
Middleweight
Michel Pereira vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Michal Oleksiejczuk
64%
36%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
33-14
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-9
W6
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pereira: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 1 sig / 0 TD
Michel Pereira
Michal Oleksiejczuk
55
Sig strikes landed
37
106
Sig strikes attempted
95
67
Total strikes landed
47
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
49s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
33-14
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
Blue corner
W1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
23-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—